Monday, 14 July 2025

Climate Migration: The Rising Tide of Displacement and Its Impact on Urban India

 A Crisis Without Borders

Flooded village, people evacuating belongings in boats.


In recent years, the escalating frequency and intensity of climate-related disasters have added a new category to the global displacement crisis: climate migration. As rising sea levels swallow coastlines, floods drown fertile farmlands, and heatwaves scorch livelihoods, families are increasingly being forced to abandon their ancestral homes and seek refuge in urban areas. While migration has long been a coping mechanism, climate-induced migration is largely involuntary and far more destabilizing—especially for low-income and agrarian communities.

In India, which is among the world’s most climate-vulnerable countries, the issue is particularly acute. From the Sundarbans in West Bengal to the drought-prone Bundelkhand region and the flood-ravaged states of Assam and Bihar, environmental degradation is driving thousands towards megacities like Delhi, Mumbai, and Kolkata—cities already stretched thin. This phenomenon, if not proactively addressed, threatens to unravel both urban and rural social fabrics.


Climate Migration Defined

The Intergovernmental Panel on Climate Change (IPCC) defines climate migration as the movement of people primarily due to sudden or gradual environmental changes that adversely affect their livelihoods. Unlike traditional migration driven by economic opportunity or conflict, climate migration is displacement-by-default. It often results from:

A 2021 report by the World Bank estimates that over 216 million people could become internal climate migrants globally by 2050—nearly 45 million in South Asia alone.


India’s Climate Hotspots: The Push Factors

India's diverse geography makes it vulnerable to a wide range of climate shocks. Key regions facing critical climate stress include:

1. Sundarbans Delta (West Bengal)

Home to one of the largest mangrove forests and low-lying islands, the Sundarbans is witnessing rising salinity, sea-level rise, and frequent cyclones (e.g., Amphan, Yaas). Families are abandoning submerged homes and migrating inland, often to slums in Kolkata.

2. Bundelkhand (Uttar Pradesh & Madhya Pradesh)

This semi-arid region has faced repeated droughts, leading to agricultural collapse, debt, and farmer suicides. Villagers move seasonally or permanently to cities like Jhansi, Delhi, and Bhopal.

3. Assam & Bihar Floodplains

Annual monsoon floods, exacerbated by glacial melt and poor dam management, leave millions displaced each year. Temporary relief camps are common, but long-term rehabilitation is missing.


Urban Destinations: The Pull That Overwhelms

Urban migration, while often perceived as a sign of aspiration, is increasingly becoming a survival tactic. However, Indian cities are ill-equipped to handle such sudden demographic influxes.

1. Housing and Livelihoods

Migrants often end up in informal settlements or slums, without access to piped water, sanitation, or legal rights. For example, Mumbai's Dharavi or Delhi's Yamuna floodplain slums have seen increased climate migrant populations.

2. Strain on Infrastructure

Cities are struggling to manage transport, electricity, waste, and public health services. This not only leads to deteriorating quality of life but also fosters resentment among native populations.

3. Informal Labour Market Exploitation

Migrants frequently work in unregulated, low-paid, high-risk jobs—such as construction, waste picking, and domestic work—with no social security or worker protections.


Social and Psychological Impacts

Urban slum, migrant families at shared tap.


1. Breakdown of Social Networks

Migration severs people from their traditional support systems—community elders, family structures, and cultural institutions. In cities, where social capital is scarce, this isolation can lead to mental health issues and vulnerability to exploitation.

2. Identity and Belonging

Climate migrants often lack formal refugee status and face bureaucratic apathy. Without documentation, they can’t access welfare programs like PDS, MNREGA, or Aadhaar-linked benefits—turning them into invisible citizens.

3. Gendered Impact

Women and children are disproportionately affected. Women face increased unpaid care work, health risks, and sexual violence during and after migration. A study by ActionAid (2022) in Odisha noted a rise in early marriages and school dropouts among displaced girls.


Why Current Policies Fall Short

India lacks a comprehensive climate migration framework. Migration is still viewed through the lens of employment or disaster relief, but not as a structural consequence of climate change.

Existing Gaps:

  • No recognition of “climate migrants” in law

  • No long-term urban resettlement programs

  • Poor integration between disaster response, urban planning, and employment schemes

While the National Disaster Management Authority (NDMA) handles disaster-related displacements, it offers only temporary relief, not long-term rehabilitation.


What Can Be Done: Recommendations for India

To prevent climate migration from becoming a humanitarian crisis, India needs coordinated, forward-looking interventions:

1. Legally Recognize Climate Migrants

Create a formal definition and include them in national and state-level migration and welfare policies. Decentralized registration and Aadhaar portability can help.

2. Strengthen Rural Climate Resilience

Invest in climate-resilient agriculture, water conservation, and green livelihoods to reduce distress migration. The PM-KUSUM scheme and watershed programs need scaling and targeting.

3. Urban Inclusion & Infrastructure Planning

Cities must integrate migrant populations through affordable housing, access to services, and inclusive job creation. Tools like the City Resilience Index and smart city frameworks should explicitly incorporate climate migration scenarios.

4. Community-Based Adaptation

Empower local communities to manage migration through early-warning systems, education, and women-led resource governance.


Global Lessons and the Way Forward

Countries like Bangladesh and Vietnam have initiated planned relocation strategies and climate-resilient village programs. India can draw on such models to build a just transition” framework—where adaptation is not just technical but also socially inclusive and fair.

As the climate crisis accelerates, the notion that urban India can endlessly absorb displaced populations without collapsing is dangerously flawed. Climate migration is not just a rural or environmental issue—it is a national urban planning and human rights challenge. A proactive, rights-based response today will save millions from crisis tomorrow.


Conclusion

Climate migration is reshaping India’s demographic and socio-economic landscape in ways policymakers can no longer ignore. These are not just people on the move—they are climate refugees without borders, facing a future full of uncertainty. Recognizing their plight, strengthening their rights, and redesigning both rural resilience and urban inclusivity must become a national development priority. The climate clock is ticking—and for many, displacement has already begun.

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